BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 PRODID:-//132.216.98.100//NONSGML kigkonsult.se iCalcreator 2.20.4// BEGIN:VEVENT UID:20260622T065524EDT-8042RcKUcI@132.216.98.100 DTSTAMP:20260622T105524Z DESCRIPTION:Title: Exceedance-based nonlinear regression of tail dependence .\n\nAbstract: The probability and structure of co-occurrences of extreme values in multivariate data may critically depend on auxiliary information provided by covariates. In this talk\, I will develop a flexible generali zed additive modelling framework based on high threshold exceedances for e stimating covariate-dependent joint tail characteristics for regimes of as ymptotic dependence and asymptotic independence. The framework is based on suitably defined marginal pretransformations and projections of the rando m vector along the directions of the unit simplex\, which lead to convenie nt univariate representations of multivariate exceedances based on the exp onential distribution. We illustrate this modelling framework on a large d ataset of nitrogen dioxide measurements recorded in France between 1999 an d 2012\, where we use the generalized additive framework for modelling mar ginal distributions and tail dependence in monthly maxima. Results imply a symptotic independence of data observed at different stations. We find tha t the estimated coefficients of tail dependence decrease as a function of spatial distance. Differences further arise in the patterns for different years and for different types of stations (traffic vs. background).\n DTSTART:20190403T193000Z DTEND:20190403T203000Z LOCATION:Room D4-2019\, CA\, Université de Sherbrooke SUMMARY:Linda Mhalla\, École des HÉC URL:/mathstat/channels/event/linda-mhalla-ecole-des-he c-295786 END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR